Crewevs
Northampton
SCHEDULEDEngland · League Two · 8/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crewe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Crewe are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Northampton are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and crewe hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the League Two, favouring Crewe with 13.4% confidence, a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Crewe
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
13.4%
Crewe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60