Cremonesevs
Virtus Entella
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie B · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cremonese · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cremonese 1-0 Virtus Entella, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cremonese 0-0 Virtus Entella
Original prediction
Cremonese
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 53.1% | 59.3% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.7% | 26.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.61 | 20.2% | 14.7% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Projected Score
Cremonese 1–0 Virtus Entella
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Cremonese
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
59.3%
Cremonese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CremoneseDWWLL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Virtus EntellaWDLLD
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CremoneseVirtus Entella
44.4Attack31.6
71.4Defence55.3
57.1Form36.8
59.1Power43.5
1.34xG0.47