GGOALVIO

England · League Two · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crawley Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Crawley Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bristol Rovers are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Crawley Town hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the League Two, while Crawley Town holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Crawley Town

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

12.4%

Crawley Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crawley TownLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Bristol RoversLLDDL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Crawley TownBristol Rovers
56.5Attack40.6
53.7Defence52.9
53.7Form44.9
55.2Power47.6
1.75xG1.00
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