GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cowdenbeath · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Cowdenbeath are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while East Kilbride are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and East Kilbride hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 70.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Challenge Cup, while Cowdenbeath holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cowdenbeath

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

7.5%

Cowdenbeath has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CowdenbeathLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
East KilbrideDWLWL

GF 16 · GA 12 · avg 3.20/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
CowdenbeathEast Kilbride
88.9Attack100.0
33.3Defence41.7
66.7Form75.0
64.7Power70.4
2.26xG2.17
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