Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hull City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Coventry 0-1 Hull City
Original prediction
Hull City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 52.4% | 35.6% | -16.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 26.7% | 26.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.56 | 20.9% | 37.6% | 16.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 3.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Hull City
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Hull City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CoventryWLWWD
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hull CityDWDLD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
CoventryHull City
0.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
7.0Power88.7
1.25xG1.79