Cove Rangersvs
Formartine United
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cove Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cove Rangers 2-1 Formartine United
Original prediction
Cove Rangers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 58.3% | 50.4% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.1% | 22.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.63 | 19.6% | 27.1% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Cove Rangers
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Cove Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60