GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Durango are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

11.7%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLWWDD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
DurangoLWW

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.67/1.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
Correcaminos UatDurango
91.7Attack22.2
33.3Defence66.7
58.3Form66.7
62.0Power55.1
1.81xG1.31
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