Correcaminos Uatvs
Dorados
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Correcaminos Uat 1-2 Dorados
Original prediction
Correcaminos Uat
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.3% | 52.4% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.7% | 19.6% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 4.17 | 21.9% | 28.0% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Correcaminos Uat
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40