GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cruz Azul Hidalgo are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LLDD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLWWDD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Cruz Azul HidalgoLLDD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Correcaminos UatCruz Azul Hidalgo
91.7Attack11.1
33.3Defence55.6
58.3Form22.2
62.0Power32.7
2.10xG1.22
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