Correcaminos Uatvs
CDS Tampico Madero
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Correcaminos Uat 1-0 CDS Tampico Madero
Original prediction
Correcaminos Uat
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.1% | 52.4% | 11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.3% | 21.0% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.6% | 26.6% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Correcaminos Uat
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00