GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLWWDD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CDS Tampico MaderoWLDLW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Correcaminos UatCDS Tampico Madero
91.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence88.9
58.3Form44.4
62.0Power54.9
1.76xG1.35
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