Correcaminos Uatvs
Cancún
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Correcaminos Uat 2-2 Cancún
Original prediction
Correcaminos Uat
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 46.1% | 42.4% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.4% | 23.5% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 27.6% | 34.1% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Correcaminos Uat
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20