Corinthiansvs
Vitoria
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 10/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Corinthians · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Corinthians 0-0 Vitoria, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Corinthians 1-1 Vitoria
Original prediction
Corinthians
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 61.3% | 47.0% | -14.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 24.3% | 27.6% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 6.56 | 14.4% | 25.4% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.3 pts
Projected Score
Corinthians 0–0 Vitoria
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Corinthians
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Corinthians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CorinthiansLLLLL
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VitoriaLWLDW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CorinthiansVitoria
34.4Attack36.7
57.8Defence51.1
35.6Form40.0
44.5Power44.0
1.08xG0.85