GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 8/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Corinthians · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Corinthians are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Santos are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.6% in the Serie A, while Corinthians holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Corinthians

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

15.6%

Corinthians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CorinthiansDWWLD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SantosWLWDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CorinthiansSantos
36.4Attack46.0
69.7Defence44.4
48.5Form34.9
53.2Power43.9
1.33xG0.74
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