Corinthiansvs
Santos
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 8/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Corinthians · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Corinthians 0-1 Santos
Original prediction
Corinthians
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 50.7% | 47.5% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.8% | 27.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.34 | 21.5% | 25.2% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Corinthians
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Corinthians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00