Corinthiansvs
Santos
SCHEDULEDBrazil · Serie A · 8/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Corinthians · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Corinthians are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Santos are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.6% in the Serie A, while Corinthians holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Corinthians
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
15.6%
Corinthians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00