Corinthiansvs
Fluminense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Corinthians 0-0 Fluminense, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Corinthians 1-3 Fluminense
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 44.6% | 35.9% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 30.0% | 29.0% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 25.5% | 35.0% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Projected Score
Corinthians 0–0 Fluminense
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.0%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CorinthiansLLDLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FluminenseLLWWD
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CorinthiansFluminense
34.6Attack50.6
64.2Defence56.8
39.5Form55.6
47.9Power57.0
0.93xG1.02