Corinthiansvs
Cruzeiro
SCHEDULEDBrazil · Serie A · 8/16/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Corinthians · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Corinthians are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cruzeiro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.2 against 51.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.1% in the Serie A, while Corinthians holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Corinthians
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
17.1%
Corinthians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40