GGOALVIO

Chile · Copa Chile · 8/6/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Coquimbo Unido · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Coquimbo Unido are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while San Marcos de Arica are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and coquimbo Unido hold a 47.2-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 19.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely result in the Copa Chile, favouring Coquimbo Unido with 13.9% confidence, a 45% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Coquimbo Unido

Probability

71.4%

Model confidence

13.9%

Coquimbo Unido has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Coquimbo UnidoLDDWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
San Marcos de AricaDWLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Coquimbo UnidoSan Marcos de Arica
44.4Attack11.1
83.3Defence27.8
66.7Form5.6
66.5Power19.3
2.25xG0.68
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