GGOALVIO

Chile · Copa Chile · 10/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Coquimbo Unido · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Coquimbo Unido 2-1 Cobreloa

Original prediction

Coquimbo Unido

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4264.8%53.1%-11.7 pts
Draw4.4720.5%25.7%5.1 pts
Away6.2414.7%21.2%6.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-11.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–015%
  2. 2.1–113%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Coquimbo Unido

Probability

53.1%

Model confidence

53.1%

Coquimbo Unido has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Coquimbo UnidoWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CobreloaWWLDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Coquimbo UnidoCobreloa
47.6Attack38.1
81.0Defence61.9
71.4Form38.1
68.7Power48.1
1.43xG0.77
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