Concepciónvs
O'Higgins
COMPLETEDChile · Copa Chile · 9/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Concepción · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Concepción 0-1 O'Higgins
Original prediction
Concepción
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 21:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 40.6% | 45.6% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.7% | 25.5% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.7% | 28.9% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Concepción
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Concepción has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40