Concepciónvs
Curico Unido
COMPLETEDChile · Copa Chile · 9/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Concepción · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Concepción 2-0 Curico Unido
Original prediction
Concepción
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 63.4% | 60.6% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.1% | 22.1% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 6.76 | 13.5% | 17.4% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Concepción
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
Concepción has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00