Como Wvs
Fiorentina W
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie A Women · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fiorentina W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Como W 1-1 Fiorentina W
Original prediction
Fiorentina W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 07:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.44 | 26.2% | 34.7% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.6% | 27.9% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.3% | 37.5% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Fiorentina W
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Fiorentina W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60