Columbus Crewvs
Toronto FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/24/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Columbus Crew 4-2 Toronto FC
Original prediction
Columbus Crew
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 57.4% | 44.8% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.8% | 26.5% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 4.51 | 20.8% | 28.8% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Columbus Crew
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80