GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/29/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New England Revolution · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Columbus Crew are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while New England Revolution are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and New England Revolution hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Major League Soccer, while New England Revolution holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New England Revolution

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

13.0%

New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Columbus CrewLDWWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
New England RevolutionDLDWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Columbus CrewNew England Revolution
48.1Attack51.9
48.1Defence57.4
37.0Form55.6
46.3Power55.4
1.29xG1.53
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