Columbus Crewvs
New England Revolution
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/30/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New England Revolution · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Columbus Crew 1-3 New England Revolution
Original prediction
New England Revolution
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 44.4% | 31.8% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 26.2% | 23.1% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 29.5% | 45.1% | 15.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
New England Revolution
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40