Colorado Rapidsvs
Vancouver Whitecaps
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/25/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colorado Rapids 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps
Original prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.09 | 30.2% | 28.5% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 26.3% | 27.9% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 43.4% | 43.6% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60