Colorado Rapidsvs
Seattle Sounders
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/20/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colorado Rapids · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle Sounders
Original prediction
Colorado Rapids
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 50.0% | 48.3% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 24.1% | 26.1% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.62 | 25.9% | 25.5% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Colorado Rapids
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Colorado Rapids has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20