Colorado Rapidsvs
San Jose Earthquakes
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/11/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colorado Rapids · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colorado Rapids 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes
Original prediction
Colorado Rapids
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 49.3% | 37.8% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 25.1% | 28.1% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.67 | 25.6% | 34.2% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Colorado Rapids
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Colorado Rapids has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20