Colorado Rapidsvs
Real Salt Lake
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/30/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colorado Rapids · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colorado Rapids 1-0 Real Salt Lake
Original prediction
Colorado Rapids
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 48.8% | 45.4% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 25.1% | 23.0% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 26.1% | 31.6% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Colorado Rapids
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Colorado Rapids has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00