Colorado Rapidsvs
Minnesota United FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/15/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colorado Rapids · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colorado Rapids 2-2 Minnesota United FC
Original prediction
Colorado Rapids
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 51.1% | 43.5% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 25.0% | 27.7% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 23.9% | 28.8% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Colorado Rapids
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Colorado Rapids has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80