Colorado Rapidsvs
CF Montreal
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/13/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colorado Rapids · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colorado Rapids 1-0 CF Montreal
Original prediction
Colorado Rapids
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 56.8% | 48.1% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 23.2% | 26.6% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 4.68 | 20.1% | 25.4% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Colorado Rapids
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Colorado Rapids has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80