Colo Colovs
A. Italiano
COMPLETEDChile · Copa Chile · 9/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colo Colo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colo Colo 1-0 A. Italiano
Original prediction
Colo Colo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 59.5% | 51.2% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 24.0% | 25.1% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 5.60 | 16.4% | 23.8% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Colo Colo
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Colo Colo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00