Colchestervs
Exeter City
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Colchester 0-0 Exeter City, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Colchester 0-0 Exeter City
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 43.8% | 33.7% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.6% | 33.5% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 28.5% | 32.9% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.35 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Projected Score
Colchester 0–0 Exeter City
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.5%
Model confidence
33.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ColchesterLDDLD
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Exeter CityWDWLD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ColchesterExeter City
37.0Attack20.0
51.9Defence80.0
37.0Form40.0
44.9Power49.0
0.63xG0.69