Cobreloavs
Coquimbo Unido
COMPLETEDChile · Copa Chile · 9/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coquimbo Unido · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cobreloa 1-2 Coquimbo Unido
Original prediction
Coquimbo Unido
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.02 | 30.3% | 32.9% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.2% | 28.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 41.5% | 38.5% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Coquimbo Unido
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Coquimbo Unido has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00