Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Clydebank · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Clydebank 4-0 Dumbarton
Original prediction
Clydebank
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.1% | 63.7% | 11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.4% | 18.5% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.5% | 17.8% | -6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–18%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Clydebank
Probability
63.7%
Model confidence
63.7%
Clydebank has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ClydebankWWWDW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DumbartonLWWWW
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ClydebankDumbarton
86.7Attack66.7
73.3Defence0.0
86.7Form46.7
82.0Power40.8
3.72xG1.27