Clydebankvs
Alloa Athletic
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alloa Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Clydebank 1-1 Alloa Athletic
Original prediction
Alloa Athletic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.29 | 27.5% | 37.4% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.4% | 25.1% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 49.1% | 37.5% | -11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Alloa Athletic
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Alloa Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 22 · GA 6 · avg 4.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40