Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
East Fife · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Clyde 1-4 East Fife
Original prediction
East Fife
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.3% | 35.9% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.3% | 25.5% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.4% | 38.6% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
East Fife
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
East Fife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ClydeWDLWW
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
East FifeDDLDL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ClydeEast Fife
16.7Attack66.7
0.0Defence0.0
0.0Form16.7
14.2Power30.3
1.86xG2.00