Club NacionalvsProgreso

Club Nacional are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Progreso are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Nacional hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.8% in the Primera División, while Club Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.