Club Nacionalvs
Progreso
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 8/23/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Club Nacional 1-0 Progreso, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Nacional 1-0 Progreso
Original prediction
Club Nacional
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Projected Score
Club Nacional 1–0 Progreso
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Club Nacional
Probability
65.7%
Model confidence
65.7%
Club Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Club NacionalLLWWL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ProgresoLLLWL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Club NacionalProgreso
48.6Attack25.0
54.2Defence48.6
48.6Form22.2
51.8Power35.1
1.69xG0.59