Club Nacionalvs
Juventud
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 9/6/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Club Nacional 2-2 Juventud
Original prediction
Club Nacional
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 53.1% | 52.2% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.9% | 25.7% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.38 | 20.9% | 22.1% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Club Nacional
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Club Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40