Club Nacionalvs
Boston River
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 8/9/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Club Nacional are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Boston River are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Nacional hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring Club Nacional with 15.8% confidence, a 39% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Club Nacional
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
15.8%
Club Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20