Cliftonville FCvs
Portadown
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 10/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cliftonville FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cliftonville FC 1-0 Portadown, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cliftonville FC 1-2 Portadown
Original prediction
Cliftonville FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.7% | 60.4% | 6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.6% | 23.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 22.7% | 15.8% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Projected Score
Cliftonville FC 1–0 Portadown
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Cliftonville FC
Probability
60.4%
Model confidence
60.4%
Cliftonville FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40