GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Clachnacuddin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Clachnacuddin are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Elgin City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Elgin City hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Challenge Cup, while Clachnacuddin holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Clachnacuddin

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

12.4%

Clachnacuddin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ClachnacuddinWWDLD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Elgin CityDWLLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ClachnacuddinElgin City
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence77.8
50.0Form44.4
50.0Power53.1
1.59xG1.40
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