Chrudimvs
Pardubice II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · 9/26/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pardubice II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chrudim 0-1 Pardubice II
Original prediction
Pardubice II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 30.8% | 35.5% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.1% | 27.2% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 45.2% | 37.3% | -7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Pardubice II
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Pardubice II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20