Chicago Firevs
Vancouver Whitecaps
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/7/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chicago Fire 3-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
Original prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.89 | 32.5% | 29.8% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 24.5% | 27.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 42.9% | 43.1% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40