Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer
Friday, 17 July 202601:30Updated today
Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire

Home
W
vs
01:30
Vancouver Whitecaps

Vancouver Whitecaps

Away
D
Soldier Field
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
Chicago Fire(47%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Chicago Fire
47%
Draw
22%
Vancouver Whitecaps
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Chicago Fire
94
Vancouver Whitecaps
34
Defence
Chicago Fire
66
Vancouver Whitecaps
66
Momentum
Chicago Fire
100
Vancouver Whitecaps
33
Danger (xG)
Chicago Fire
2.70
Vancouver Whitecaps
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Chicago Fire)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Vancouver Whitecaps)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Chicago Fire)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Vancouver Whitecaps)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Chicago FireChicago Fire
W
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
DLW

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
Chicago Fire47%
Draw22%
Vancouver Whitecaps30%

Chicago Fire leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Chicago Fire head into this in Major League Soccer fixture at Soldier Field in mixed form (W), while Vancouver Whitecaps arrive in mixed form (D). Chicago Fire have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Vancouver Whitecaps over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Chicago Fire's elite attack (94/100) faces a solid Vancouver Whitecaps defence (66/100), while Vancouver Whitecaps's attack is up against a solid Chicago Fire backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Chicago Fire's favour.

Chicago Fire have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Vancouver Whitecaps have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Chicago Fire and Vancouver Whitecaps in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Chicago Fire to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Chicago Fire 4728%, Draw 2230%, Vancouver Whitecaps 3042%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire

W
@ DC United
14 May 2026
31
Vancouver Whitecaps

Vancouver Whitecaps

D
@ Cavalry FC
14 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Houston Dynamo
17 May 2026
01
W
@ FC Dallas
14 May 2026
32

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

GoalVio's model predicts Chicago Fire to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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