Chernomorets 1919 Burgasvs
Montana
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 3-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 2-0 Montana
Original prediction
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 57.8% | 67.7% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 23.8% | 18.9% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 4.87 | 18.4% | 13.3% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.3–013%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Probability
67.7%
Model confidence
67.7%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60