Chelyabinskvs
Ural
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 10/25/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ural · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chelyabinsk 0-1 Ural, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chelyabinsk 1-3 Ural
Original prediction
Ural
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.86 | 24.0% | 22.1% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.5% | 26.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 49.5% | 51.3% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Projected Score
Chelyabinsk 0–1 Ural
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Ural
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Ural has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChelyabinskLLWDW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
UralLLWWD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ChelyabinskUral
42.9Attack52.4
45.2Defence76.2
35.7Form59.5
42.9Power63.0
0.64xG1.66