Chelyabinskvs
Enisey
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/26/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelyabinsk · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chelyabinsk 1-1 Enisey
Original prediction
Chelyabinsk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 34.5% | 37.4% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.9% | 26.6% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 35.5% | 35.9% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Chelyabinsk
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Chelyabinsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60