Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelsea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 03:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Chelsea
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Chelsea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChelseaWWLDW
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LeedsDLDWL
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ChelseaLeeds
81.0Attack42.9
38.1Defence71.4
61.9Form47.6
60.4Power55.3
1.65xG1.41