Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
QPR · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlton 0-0 QPR
Original prediction
QPR
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.31 | 28.3% | 30.8% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 28.6% | 28.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.18 | 43.1% | 40.7% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
QPR
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
QPR has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CharltonLDWLW
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
QPRLWWDW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CharltonQPR
40.0Attack46.7
53.3Defence73.3
66.7Form66.7
56.1Power64.6
1.01xG1.23