Charltonvs
Portsmouth
COMPLETEDEngland · Championship · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlton · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlton 0-0 Portsmouth
Original prediction
Charlton
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 35.5% | 38.5% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.8% | 29.0% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 34.6% | 32.5% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Charlton
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Charlton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60