Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Charlton 0-0 Derby, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlton 2-1 Derby
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Projected Score
Charlton 0–0 Derby
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
20.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CharltonWLWLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
DerbyLDLWL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CharltonDerby
31.9Attack34.8
58.0Defence59.4
38.4Form36.2
44.9Power45.1
0.83xG0.80