Charlottevs
Houston Dynamo
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/5/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlotte 0-0 Houston Dynamo
Original prediction
Charlotte
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 42.0% | 44.6% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 26.5% | 24.4% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 31.6% | 31.0% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Charlotte
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40