Chapecoense-scvs
Sao Paulo
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 8/23/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sao Paulo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chapecoense-sc 1-0 Sao Paulo
Original prediction
Sao Paulo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Sao Paulo
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Sao Paulo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Chapecoense-scDLLDD
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sao PauloWDDLD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Chapecoense-scSao Paulo
34.8Attack40.9
30.3Defence60.6
16.7Form40.9
30.2Power49.3
0.83xG1.65